Altcoin investors are watching the markets closely as several top analysts predict a major reversal.
As geopolitical tension rattled the crypto market, analysts say the 2025 chart resembles that of the Bitcoin crash of 2020 due to the COVID-19 impact.
If history repeats, a major altseason 3.0 rally could begin within weeks, possibly on July 1.
Altcoin Market Reacts to War Dip, Altseason Next?
The recent market correction has led to direct comparisons to the March 2020 COVID crash.
According to analyst Atlas, this recent decline has been occasioned by the Iran-Israel war and the U.S airstrikes.
He noted that it mirrors the 2020 bottom before Bitcoin surged and altcoins exploded 1000x. Atlas says the market is going through a full-resetting phase.
That is similar to the short-but-violent COVID selloff that preceded one of the most impressive bull markets ever.
Atlas identified two almost identical structures: one during the 2020 collapse and one that is currently happening in 2025.
These two have huge drawdowns showing red, followed by a tiny recovery box, and huge movement up.
If the 2020 fractal repeats, Atlas suggests a massive altseason rally may begin soon, with Bitcoin pushing above $120,000 and altcoins entering a vertical accumulation phase.
In the chart, the 2025 structure is labeled as WAR, with the existing conflict identified as a macro trigger, just like the global pandemic in 2020. Atlas sees the signal as a clean breakout of the present recovery zone early in July.
July 1: The Historical Altseason Date
Furthermore, analyst DefiWimar pointed to a recurring date for altcoin market ignition, July 1. Using historical charts, Wimar showed that altseasons in both 2017 and 2021 began precisely in early July.
The current structure is on pace to replicate those earlier cycles, with the 2025 altseason potentially beginning in under two weeks.
Wimar’s analysis predicts that the altcoin market cap could hit $15 trillion during this cycle. His chart showed three green-highlighted altseason windows, each starting around July 1, with major rallies lasting several months.
According to the trend, there is not much time left to position before what he defines as the largest shift in wealth since 2021.
Altcoin Season III Expected After Accumulation Phase
Shahnawaz takes a macro view of altcoin history and plots three major altseasons: 2017, 2021, and the upcoming 2024/2025 wave.
His chart breaks the market into accumulation and explosion. According to his model, the crypto market is ending an accumulation zone and entering Altcoin Season III.
Shahnawaz attributed its timing to the ultimate settlement of the Iran-Israel conflict, as markets tend to gain some time after the occurrence of geopolitical turbulence.
He presents this arrangement as unavoidable and holds that the structure of the cycle is still there and ready to burst.
Altcoin Season I followed 2016’s slow build-up, and Season II emerged from the 2020 crash. Season III, he suggested, is currently shaping under comparable preconditions.
The previous seasons were all preceded by years of low volatility and investor burnout. His chart implies that the more the accumulation basis, the more powerful the breakout.
At this stage, the base can be one of the single largest bases owing to the volatility caused by the war.
Altcoin Flashes Golden Cross for First Time Since 2021
Supporting this thesis, Danny Crypto points to the rare appearance of a golden cross on the Altcoin Market Cap chart.
According to Danny, this technical formation, where the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day, was last seen in early 2021, right before a 123x explosion in altcoin prices.
The same signal has now returned in mid-2025. Danny believes this confirms the start of Altseason III and signals massive upside.
His chart shows a steep projected curve, with altcoin market cap expected to hit $8.4 trillion, a 234x jump from current levels.
Danny allegedly made $172,291 on a front-run of this arrangement in 2021 with a starting capital of $1000. He now sees similar conditions in place.
The analyst also added that this was the most asymmetric bet of the decade, with the Golden Cross being confirmed, as well as historical patterns in line.
[email protected]